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Not_a_Number

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Everything posted by Not_a_Number

  1. It's been really weird for us having NO colds. Like, I'm not sure DD4 remembers what a cold is like. And I remember colds being more than a bit of a hassle -- they'd disrupt their sleep, and the sleep of the other child (since they share a room), and of course half the time everyone would get sick...
  2. Ah-ha. I didn't remember whether you had gone through all of them or you hadn't -- thanks for clarifying. I just remember you reporting that even your little one enjoyed OUP more than SOTW. My kids are both really, really into fiction and really, really bored by encyclopedias. DD4 actually wasn't hating SOTW, but I really didn't feel like aiming our history reading at the 4 year old!!
  3. I know just how you feel! Even one of my friends whose kid is at school (well, it's a small school for gifted kids, so it's kind of weird, but still) and who had their teacher give them SOTW really liked it. Never mind people on this forum, who almost all like it by definition 😉 . I know @wendyroo had a similar experience, if I remember correctly -- she's the one who recommended the OUP books to us, and while we haven't used them yet, they look great to both me and DD8. She thinks they look really engaging and also more informative than our current light series. But our current light
  4. We didn't enjoy SOTW 1, and we abandoned ship quite early on. I didn't think DD8 was getting much out of it since it jumped around so much, the sentences were really short and unengaging, and no one was excited to read when it was time to do so. What we've been doing this year is reading the highly unserious Time Traveler series I posted about 😉 . I've also purchased a bunch of Oxford University Press books, and I think when we take a more serious pass, that's what we'll do. But actually, the Time Traveler books have given DD8 a nice basic overview starting from ancient Greece, and I exp
  5. I dunno, when they ran antibody tests around here, they didn't have higher percent with antibodies, if I remember correctly. The PPE really helps.
  6. It is SO random. I doubt you caught something -- some people just seem to be knocked flat by it, and from what I've seen, it's not correlated to strong vaccine reactions in general. ... I do wonder if it's correlated to expecting to have a severe case of COVID, though. Which also looked very random from where I was standing (except for the usual age correlation.)
  7. That's what it's looking like for me, too, although I personally don't yet know teens who are getting vaccinated. I'll get my sister's data soon though 😄 .
  8. Oh, yikes. 15% with moderate or worse symptoms 8 months later 😞 . They are counting loss of smell/taste as possible such symptoms, for what that's worth. This is the kind of strong signal you don't need to run statistics on. How depressing.
  9. Fascinating. If teens wind up with few side effects in general, despite the robust immune systems, do you think that might be for the same reason that they don't usually get serious cases of COVID? (Which was something about the ACE receptors if I remember correctly??)
  10. I don't know what you mean here. In fact, my experience is that people who publish medical papers are on average woefully undertrained in statistics and in how to design good experiments. I know much more than them about it, because it's not their area of expertise. This is a really common complaint from the mathier parts of the medical community, by the way. So, yes, I can evaluate papers on transmissibility and things like that (although I haven't been reading them carefully enough to really say much as of right now), in the same way that I could look at that highly suspicious calcifed
  11. I'm not offended at all -- thanks for checking in! I'm not sure I know what you mean about not taking ourselves too seriously, though. I'm always very upfront about what I know and what I don't know. But in terms of taking myself seriously -- I do think people ought to take me seriously when we talk about probability, because I'm in fact highly trained in it. And I know there are many other highly trained posters with scientific backgrounds as well, and I see absolutely no reason not to take them seriously. And that includes their opinion, yes. Frankly, I see no reason to take the opinio
  12. 🐔 🐔 🐔 🐔 🐔
  13. It's a knotty problem, and I feel you on that. DD8 was totally burned out on writing after her year of kindergarten, and I'm sure we were "behind" in grade 1, since I mostly wanted her to stop hating writing and to form her letters properly again (a skill she had lost in kindergarten.) Her first project was an animal alphabet book, and it didn't even require making full sentences. Anything to get her to put her pencil to paper without being upset. On the other hand, I've heard some pretty hair-raising stories, and most homeschoolers I know are quite behind in math. So that's a problem, t
  14. I think it's pretty commonly accepted that new variants get an advantage from increased immunity to older variants. And why wouldn't you call it that? People are linking papers and talking about details. I think a decent number of people on here have scientific training, in fact. Not so much that we're virologists, but definitely much more than the average person. For instance, I feel relatively competent to comment on statistics. If it helps you take me more seriously, my husband agrees with me on basically all the stats, and he is ALSO a professor at Columbia,
  15. OK, so let me try to dig in here a bit. Are you saying that because some scientists disagree, no one else ought to have an opinion on what's true or false? Are we supposed to wait for everyone to agree before we can look at the data ourselves? All of the scientists you've linked have opinions. People on this thread also have opinions. Those two things aren't in any way in tension. People can probe the data themselves and come up with their own conclusions.
  16. Oooh, good idea! I've thought about this a lot, actually. We've spent a LOT more time with family than we would have otherwise. We've formed a pandemic pod with my in-laws (DH's parents and his sister and little kids), and as a result, the kids have spent every weekend sleeping over at the grandparents'. I doubt this would have ever happened otherwise. I figured out how to teach math via Zoom, which has really broadened the possibilities for what we're going to do after the pandemic. Until COVID hit, I was planning to stay a part of our local homeschooling center, but I think that
  17. You're again linking to national data. Is the variant equally prevalent everywhere in the US?
  18. Uh-huh. Exactly. And we did this experiment with DD8 pre-pandemic, too -- she was part of a class I was teaching, and she behaved far better in the class than she did for me at home! And... not to belabor the obvious point... but I was the teacher in both of those situations! So obviously it wasn't my teaching that was the issue. It was the environment. So for us, the question this year was how to create an environment conducive to everyone's learning that did not require starting our own school 😉 . And it turns out there are definitely fewer tools at home than in a classroom, but there
  19. I've been messing with environmental cues this whole year, actually. We had gotten to a point where "attitude" and "emotions towards the work" were absolutely swamping any other difficulties. We've had to really formalize and streamline our rules this year, because when a child spends most of their energy on emotional response (and that response can be to difficulties, or to a power struggle, or to anxiety, or to who-knows-what), there's actually no energy left for learning. It's been really interesting to see HOW MUCH of a difference some simple stuff makes. Like, I've finally given up
  20. I think different kids need a lot scaffolding for different things! I've just discovered that my kids need scaffolding for what it means to "think hard about a question." And literally, I've had to make a detailed list for what it means, and it feels very artificial -- first, they repeat the question in their heads, then they think about the question and ask for clarifications if needed, then they ask for more time if they need more than 10 seconds, then they raise their hands if they've thought of an answer after asking for more time. And yet it's all incredibly helpful for my ki
  21. Yep. Fair. I can teach my kids starting with nothing but a bunch of Clairefontaine notebooks 😉 . So yes, I could remove the notebooks and the writing, and it'd be fine. But again... not a very interesting statement for most people.
  22. Good spotting about the date, lol. So it sounds like he decided it probably wasn't more transmissible a while ago and is now digging his heels in because he doesn't like to be proven wrong. It's understandable. It happens. Everyone does it. But there's no reason to assume he's the one true prophet and everyone else is wrong, as you say.
  23. No one has shown that human behavior and immunity to previous variants has anything to do with transmission? I mean, I suppose not, but I have no clue what that means -- obviously, human behavior and immunity to previous variants would favor the current variant. Could you please tell me what your point is? Is your point that we shouldn't care about the variants and we should all just get vaccinated? What is it that you're trying to say and why?
  24. OK, so he's saying that to state that something is more transmissible, we ought to be sure that there's some intrinsic characteristic of the virus making it so. That's certainly one possible definition. Fine by me. Now, how would one test whether something is more transmissible, exactly? And how does the fact that it's possible that human behavior/built up immunity to previous variants is currently increasing rates of transmission for one variant change anything? This seems like pedantic quibbling to me, to be honest. What we care about is how fast things are currently spreading. I
  25. And most likely with a highly educated parent. I could easily unschool my kids in math and have them still do really well in math. I don't think it'd be the efficient thing to do, but I bet it'd be easy -- my kids are mathy, and I have a very good feeling for which concepts are necessary. So what? Doesn't mean everyone should do it.
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