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  1. Isn't this sort of thing another result of the rising "gig economy", and lack of traditional employment relationships?  Does the charter school itself carry insurance?  If so, what does that cover?  Also, what about jurisdication -- I assume you aren't in California, but thinking about working for a school chartered in CA -- what would the jurisdiction of any lawsuit be?

  2. 3 minutes ago, Æthelthryth the Texan said:

    It seems like social media and kids having cell phones was the tipping point. 

     

    2 minutes ago, gardenmom5 said:

    I think it is much more common to day - for *female* teachers to be sleeping with their students (male and female).  Most of them aren't as young, but some of them have still been made pregnant by them.

     

    I think more cases are more widely publicized now, but I don't idealize the past.  I'm sure this was going on long before cell phones or color television.

    • Like 4
  3. 23 minutes ago, Æthelthryth the Texan said:

    What is still shocking to me though is it's like she was the tipping point for where it became normalized. 

     

    I don't think it's become normalized, I just think that we stopped sweeping it under the rug, and starting publicizing it. If anything, I think this kind of publicity denormalizes this activity.

    I saw this sort of thing happening (mostly with male teachers) in small towns all the time growing up.  I was just reading about a minor political figure whose parents married when the mother was 13 and the father was 28 in the 1940s (!).  Newt Gingrich married his high school math teacher.

    • Like 2
  4. 4 hours ago, DawnM said:

     I was going to go to the local butcher. 

    I don't know how much their fillet is, but the ribeye is $24/pound.  

     

    The best butcher in my town offers mainly prime cuts of steak, which is very expensive.  Other places offer choice or prime, with choice often being significantly less.  My family is perfectly happy with choice, even for special occasions.

    • Like 2
  5. 52 minutes ago, square_25 said:

    My operating assumption is still that outcomes aren’t improving much but that our case counts are way off. I could be wrong, though. On the other hand, I think treatments that worked really well would be being publicized.

     

    Hospitals are getting better at treating covid since the beginning of the outbreak.  There's no silver bullet, but remdesivir helps some, the MATH+ protocols help, pronation helps, delaying intubation helps.  There's all kinds of formal and informal communications between hospital professionals about what works and what doesn't work.

    • Like 2
  6. 2 hours ago, EmseB said:

    This has actually been a topic of discussion in a few other places...are hospitalizations and hospital usage being recorded as with covid or because of covid, and if every patient coming in for elective and incidents is being tested, are those positives giving us a better idea of asymptomatic cases?

     

    Who knows?  I guess another possibility is that the patients are asymptomatic when tested at admissions, but are early on in the progression of the disease and will become symptomatic later?

    • Like 1
  7. Another shocking statistic from the NYT:  every patient admitted to the ER in a large public Miami hospital, for whatever ailment gets a Covid test.  Over the last two weeks, one third of ER admissions, usually for things like broken bones, car accidents, etc. have tested positive for covid.

    • Sad 8
  8. 29 minutes ago, Ktgrok said:

    Ugh. We've had a 17 year old die of Covid in the area now. And most of the hospitalizations are people in their 40s and 50s'. My age bracket, and that of my friends, and many teachers, etc. https://www.wmfe.org/central-florida-doctors-warn-younger-patients-are-not-immune-to-serious-coronavirus-complications/157682

    And I looked up the 17 year old, and there is more than one. A boy who died back on April 18th is not yet counted, it seems, because the autopsy is just happening????

     

    Forgive me another dumb question, but my understanding is that autopsies are generally rare nowadays -- less than 10% of all deaths get one.  In the surge of covid deaths, are hospitals doing autopsies on all the covid patients?  I could see why they aren't, because of capacity, but could also see where there may be new things to learn?

  9. 9 minutes ago, Ktgrok said:

    We were testing people over on/near the UCF campus, specifically targeting students from what I understand, at least in the Seminole County area. 

     

    But it is all still voluntary for now, right?  So trying to derive something interesting from those statistics is fraught with peril.

    If the big Universities test every single student and employee before they were allowed back on campus in fall (and I hope if they have on-campus classes, they test *everyone*), then we will get consistent numbers.  Probably the number of younger people who test positive then will spike, which will be a good thing -- because we can then isolate them so they can't spread the disease any more.  Our goal should be to identify and isolate everyone with covid, symptomatic or not.

    • Like 1
  10. 25 minutes ago, Melissa in Australia said:

    Why would you want infections at all? It is a attitude that quite frankly leaves me scratching my head.

     

    Who said anything about wanting infections?  But given that there are infections, some group, statistically is going to have the most.  I find it demeaning and patronizing to younger people, to blame them for spreading the disease, blaming their alleged bar-hoping and bed-hopping without any evidence.  I'm glad we're doing a better job of protecting older people -- they are the most at risk, and in some ways, the easiest to protect.

    • Like 1
  11. 6 minutes ago, CuriousMomof3 said:

    The difference in survival rates that a year or two makes is very very small, whereas the difference in survival rates that a year or two could bring due to better treatment is huge.  

     

    This is in reference to the histogram above, which shows that the median age of people who test positive in Florida has gone down from 65 years to 35 years, so 30 years change in the median age (!)

    • Like 1
  12. 1 minute ago, EmseB said:

    Theoretically, yes, if they existed in a vacuum and were never around old people.

     

    ???  As long as there is transmission, some age group has to have the majority of infections.  Would we prefer the majority of infections to be in the 80+ year olds?

    • Like 1
  13. 1 hour ago, EmseB said:

    A couple interesting threads on how the median age of cases in the US is rapidly dropping.

    I know no one likes to talk about outdoor spread being a risk, but I don't think this trend can all be blamed on bars and restaurants. It seems obvious to me what a ton of youngish people were doing two-plus weeks ago

     

    As far as I know, no area in the U.S. is randomly testing people, so I think it is hard to say anything about the change in demographics of test results.  Maybe, (maybe!) a greater percentage of those being tested are younger people, now that testing is easier to access?  Anecdotally, I've heard that some people (who skew younger) went to protests and then went to get tested.

    • Like 1
  14. 52 minutes ago, EmseB said:

    How would one have damaged lungs to the level of opacity on imaging and not feel it? Sorry if that's a dumb question.

     

    This is not a dumb question at all.  It surprises a lot of medical professionals. And I suspect the honest answer right now is "no one knows for sure".  But, here is an op-ed piece by a New York ER doc about this "Silent Hypoxia", and what may be causing it.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-testing-pneumonia.html

    • Like 6
    • Thanks 1
  15. 11 hours ago, TCB said:

    One of the people I’ve been following on FB who is crunching the numbers just said on his page that Arizona needed to be on lockdown now or Phoenix might be as bad or worse than NY in 2 weeks time.

     

    I doubt that Arizona has the political will to shut down again, unless things get really, really bad.  And by then it will be too late.

    • Like 1
  16. 2 hours ago, CuriousMomof3 said:

    I would also note that it's quite possible to have ASD and a genetic disorder.  I work with many students with Down syndrome, as well as students with less common genetic disorder, who have co-occurring ASD.  In my mind those children absolutely have ASD and thinking of them that way, helps connect them with resources and strategies that will work for them. 

     

    Do you know if there is a correlation between blood type and ASD?  Some research shows that patients with blood type A are more susceptible to covid than type O.

    • Like 1
  17. 16 hours ago, Pen said:

    Some of the 95% are probably also patients who had CV19 in hospital and are getting their discharged as being free of virus tests, in some situations 2 tests are supposed to be negative for virus to be considered well.  So any one positive patient may easily generate a couple additional negative tests after care in hospital.  

     

    Yikes!  I'm not a statistics expert, but I hope these "tests to see if you are no longer positive" don't count for the percentages.  Otherwise, the numbers would be completely misleading.  Let's assume that everyone has covid, and there are no false positives or negatives.  If everyone gets it and tests positive and everyone needs two negative tests to be cleared, and not everyone gets it at once, that means that the positive rate would average only 33%, even if everyone got it.

    Does anyone know if these tests count?  I don't think hospitals do this kind of testing for, say, influenza.  Once you test positive for the flu, I think it is pretty obvious when you've recovered. 

  18. On 6/8/2020 at 3:04 PM, egao_gakari said:


    I would kind of agree from a practical standpoint that Google Translate makes it almost unnecessary to study a language at all before going on a trip. But people come to me for lessons because they aren't satisfied with that approach/method.

     

    Note that I just said that google translate changes the calculus of what to teach.  Meaning not that it should always be used instead of learning anything, but maybe it changes what you want to focus on when teaching.  If a student can quickly and easily look up any word in either direction, maybe you can spend more time on pronunciation or listening, and less time on vocabulary memorization.  Or you can spend more time on cultural things, like the neat aizuchi  you mentioned above.  Or strategies for how to use automated translation assistance, without completely relying on it.

    For me at least, google maps and translate has changed the way I travel, making me much more bold and willing to stretch my wings.  However, I suspect I'm not using these tools as well as I could to enhance what we get out of traveling.

    • Like 1
  19. 6 minutes ago, CuriousMomof3 said:

    People like my son, who have recurrent symptoms that look like covid, and so get tested every time they interact with medical professionals. 

     

    I'm genuinely sorry to hear this, and that must be a huge pain for you (and him), but surely this must be a tiny majority of all the testing?

  20. 3 minutes ago, whitehawk said:

    People who are infected but whose test does not pick up enough virus to test positive, or who get one of the tests with a high false-negative rate;

    people who had it and now need a clear test to go back to work, like my aunt (got another positive even though symptoms have abated and has to wait and try again until she gets a negative)--especially people in health care, law enforcement, etc;

    people who have other infections with overlapping symptoms who are trying to nail down what they have;

    people who have been exposed or are at high risk for exposure, who may need to get tested frequently to ensure they're still negative (such as hospital workers who know they've cared for Covid patients);

    probably people with no known risk for whom infection could be disastrous, like astronauts.

     

    I could understand these if it where something like 50-50 positive to negative, but the fact that there are about 20 negatives for every positive, makes me wonder.

  21. I have so many questions about Covid, that would be fascinating, it it weren't quite so tragic.  I guess no one really knows the answers.  But here's my first:

    Around here, the positive testing rate is something like 5 percent, and this doesn't seem to change too much around the country -- it isn't, to my knowledge, 50% anywhere.  But, assuming that we aren't blanket testing everyone, and that the majority of people getting tested believe they have symptoms, or have been exposed to someone who has tested positive:

    Who are the 95% who test negative?  Are there so many people who have symptoms of something else that isn't covid?  Is it people who have no symptoms, but think they may have been exposed?

  22. 8 minutes ago, egao_gakari said:

    But people come to me for lessons because they aren't satisfied with that approach/method. I charge enough that those who register for my classes are typically pretty dedicated. Complete fluency isn't their learning goal (or my teaching goal)--but they want to be able to express the basics without turning immediately to the phone or pocket phrasebook, and they want a human conversation partner/teacher rather than an app like Duolingo.

     

    I'm curious if your clients are vacationers going to Japan for a couple of weeks, or people planning to move to Japan for an extended period of time.  If the former, a lot of the posters here seem to be planning for a much less fun vacation that I hope for....

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