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40 minutes ago, square_25 said:

Yeah, I’m sure it’s a good idea!! I’ve just been lazy. We were planning on starting to supplement, actually.

It's well established in medical literature that vitamin D status has a major impact on immunity. Years before Covid, we learned my youngest had a genetic tendency to low D--and her levels were indeed quite low--so began supplementing. Before that she seemed to get every bug that came down the pike, and that stopped when she started the supplements.

So wait for RCTs on Covid + D if you like, but to me it's a no-brainer general immune support. Anyone in the northern half of the US probably needs to supplement, certainly in winter, and even more so if you're a person of color. 

From what I've read it's worth supplementing magnesium at the same time, and we alternate days with a formulation that combines D3 and K with a higher dose D3 and separate Vitamin A drops. 

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DS got home 3 hours ago!  ❤️❤️

Update-  my youngest is not only short of breath, coughing, dizzy, nausaues, and with headache-  she is also confused.  I called our doctor and talked with him and she is going to be going to the ER.

That's not a blanket right.  If my religion required human sacrifice, I can't practice it.  If my religion required sexual assault, I can't practice it. Freedom of religion isn't a blanket right

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3 hours ago, Ausmumof3 said:

https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKCN26C27E?__twitter_impression=true
 

This would be strange if more true.  There’s some thought that prior infection with dengue fever seems to be protective against Covid19.  Areas that have had heavy dengue fever outbreaks have lower COVID infection rates.  This is preprint only at this stage.  
 

“Nicolelis told Reuters the results are particularly interesting because previous studies have shown that people with dengue antibodies in their blood can test falsely positive for COVID-19 antibodies even if they have never been infected by the coronavirus. 

"This indicates that there is an immunological interaction between two viruses that nobody could have expected, because the two viruses are from completely different families," Nicolelis said, adding that further studies are needed to prove the connection.”

 

Does anyone know if HCQ is used for dengue treatment at all?

 

Interesting. Two of my dc had dengue in 1999-2000. There was no treatment other than one got IV fluids for dehydration. I don't know if hospitalized cases where the person has hemorrhagic dengue do get medicines prescribed or not.

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1 hour ago, square_25 said:

Positivity's been going down, so we expect deaths to continue to go down for at least 2 weeks. After that, who knows. People will be going inside in the colder states, and that will probably be bad. 

Is positivity still going down in places that have opened for quite awhile? I thought at least one of the southern states (GA? AL?) has had schools open for quite awhile. It seems a lot of states have maintained declining positivity with indoor dining and such opened up?

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6 minutes ago, EmseB said:

Is positivity still going down in places that have opened for quite awhile? I thought at least one of the southern states (GA? AL?) has had schools open for quite awhile. It seems a lot of states have maintained declining positivity with indoor dining and such opened up?

Reuters has this morning that death rate in the US is up 5pc.  There seems to be a lot of different stats around which don’t add up.  Maybe to do with backfilling older deaths or something.  The trouble with that is it seems like how ever you do it you create issues either artificial spikes if you put it all as today or an artificial sense of decline if you back full but today’s aren’t current.  

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Abc
 
“Today we're announcing a $30 million package to upgrade facilities across Victoria whether it be from Richmond to Repunya.
  
"These are things like, for argument's sake as I was talking a minute ago about Dementia Week.
  
"Gardens, to upgrade gardens to make them dementia friendly.
 
"Upgrades of kitchens, common areas, floors and alike. A lot of it is maintenance-based.
 
"It's been identified in 2019 some of these works so now we're getting on with doing then."
 
 
 
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13 minutes ago, EmseB said:

Is positivity still going down in places that have opened for quite awhile? I thought at least one of the southern states (GA? AL?) has had schools open for quite awhile. It seems a lot of states have maintained declining positivity with indoor dining and such opened up?

According to Covid Act Now, which seems to be okish state positivity wise, TX, GA, and FL have all seen declines, but they're still not to the level that CA is. 

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1 hour ago, Ausmumof3 said:

I guess implications in terms of schools and PPE are expensive.  I know in Aus healthcare staff are fighting to get fit testing for n95.  I’m only guessing but I’d assume once aerosolised spread was acknowledged this would have to be provided.  (I think they actually are finally getting it at least for the covid wards).

Horrible that they haven’t had it on the covid wards! We may have to wear it over and over but at least we have it. 

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48 minutes ago, square_25 said:

Haven't monitored all the states. Just monitoring overall positivity right now. 

Just curious, how is that helpful? 

Obviously, each state or area has it's own issues, own Rt, and own health mandates. Is there something specific you are watching for?

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Just now, square_25 said:

Nope. It correlates extremely well with death rates 2 weeks later, though. I have some theories about why that is, but observationally, it's just true. 

I have heard you say that before. Is it just for the intellectual knowledge then? I guess I base all my decisions about my life on local info because that makes more sense to me but we are in our own little world up here.

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I was getting viruses ALL the time, and my health improved greatly when I started supplementing vitamin D, but my level was only like 12.  My oldest child's level was either 7 or 9.  We definitely are huge believers in supplementing here, but our levels all drop to the "everyone agrees they're clearly deficient" range without pretty rigorous supplementation.  

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3 hours ago, Ausmumof3 said:

CDC apparently updated their guidance to aerosol transmission yesterday then removed the update for review a few hours later!

Not just for Ausmumof3...

 

If it's spread through aerosol transmission, cloth masks aren't effective, right?  Do properly fitted N95 masks prevent the spread of an aerosolized virus?

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2 hours ago, square_25 said:

Haven't monitored all the states. Just monitoring overall positivity right now. 

Oh, I hardly ever look at US data as a whole. The areas and issues at play seem too diverse for it to be meaningful, but we are probably watching numbers for different reasons. 

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18 minutes ago, hopeallgoeswell said:

Not just for Ausmumof3...

 

If it's spread through aerosol transmission, cloth masks aren't effective, right?  Do properly fitted N95 masks prevent the spread of an aerosolized virus?

It is spread by droplets and aerosols. Not everything is aerosolized. Cloth masks do help and cut down on viral load. But yes, respirators are the most effective. 

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2 hours ago, Ausmumof3 said:

Reuters has this morning that death rate in the US is up 5pc.  There seems to be a lot of different stats around which don’t add up.  Maybe to do with backfilling older deaths or something.  The trouble with that is it seems like how ever you do it you create issues either artificial spikes if you put it all as today or an artificial sense of decline if you back full but today’s aren’t current.  

Yes, that's why I like Hold2's data on Twitter. He seems to account for a lag in reporting and makes charts that overlay day of death vs. day reported if states provide it, with the month each death occurred.

Which, yes, I know he comes from a particular viewpoint, but the data is sourced and reported honestly, he just draws different conclusions from it than some.

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Just now, EmseB said:

Yes, that's why I like Hold2's data on Twitter. He seems to account for a lag in reporting and makes charts that overlay day of death vs. day reported if states provide it, with the month each death occurred.

Which, yes, I know he comes from a particular viewpoint, but the data is sourced and reported honestly, he just draws different conclusions from it than some.

Quoting myself to add, there are some conspiracy theorists out there who think the deaths are being deliberately held back and reported later to create a kind of false tail so that people don't think it's over and done with...like some deaths being reported go back to May and June. I happen to think is just bureacracy.

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@Ausmumof3.   (And possibly of interest   @ElizabethB @Terabith

@Acadie   @EmseB  ) 

 

 

Dengue: 

https://www.journalrmc.com/volumes/5_ Effectiveness of Vitamin D in Prevention of Dhf & Dss.pdf

 

(Papaya leaf appears to be a folk herbal treatment currently.  Also references to zinc and Quercitin interesting enough.) 

Edited by Pen
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1 hour ago, hopeallgoeswell said:

Not just for Ausmumof3...

 

If it's spread through aerosol transmission, cloth masks aren't effective, right?  Do properly fitted N95 masks prevent the spread of an aerosolized virus?

Yes and no.  There’s some debate about airborne versus aerosol that I don’t really understand that plays into this.  I recently saw someone describe it as an “opportunistic aerosol virus”.  I think that means that it can aerosolise in some circumstances but it’s not the only kind of transmission.  Those circumstances are much more likely to happen in health care settings, or places where people sing or talk loudly.  So your mask is still useful for preventing you spreading droplets to other people.  However with the high viral load in health care they’re definitely not enough protection.  And for the rest of us we are better off avoiding those environments.  Countries with mask mandates do seem somewhat to experience better outcomes though I’m not really up on the latest data.

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41 minutes ago, Pen said:

@Ausmumof3.   (And possibly of interest   @ElizabethB @Terabith

@Acadie   @EmseB  ) 

 

 

Dengue: 

https://www.journalrmc.com/volumes/5_ Effectiveness of Vitamin D in Prevention of Dhf & Dss.pdf

 

(Papaya leaf appears to be a folk herbal treatment currently.  Also references to zinc and Quercitin interesting enough.) 

Interesting.  One thing I think this pandemic is telling me is we’re all healthier if we can spend more time outdoors!

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1 hour ago, Jean in Newcastle said:

It is spread by droplets and aerosols. Not everything is aerosolized. Cloth masks do help and cut down on viral load. But yes, respirators are the most effective. 

But we're not wearing the masks to protect ourselves primarily, right? We wear them to protect others. Masks with respirators do NOT protect others from the wearer's germs. At least that is my understanding. 

From CDC 

  • Masks with exhalation valves or vents should NOT be worn to help prevent the person wearing the mask from spreading COVID-19 to others (source control).
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12 minutes ago, Ausmumof3 said:

Interesting.  One thing I think this pandemic is telling me is we’re all healthier if we can spend more time outdoors!

And, there was a reason the Canadian grandmas in Anne of Green Gables pushed Cod Liver Oil in the books.

Vitamin D gummies go over much better than Cod Liver Oil, my husband and kids take them happily.  I have to take special formulated pills weekly because of allergies, I alternate powder and olive oil based.

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Just now, ElizabethB said:

And, there was a reason the Canadian grandmas in Anne of Green Gables pushed Cod Liver Oil in the books.  They pushed them all winter long and extra doses if you got sick.

Vitamin D gummies go over much better than Cod Liver Oil, my husband and kids take them happily.  I have to take special formulated pills weekly because of allergies, I alternate powder and olive oil based.

 

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8 minutes ago, popmom said:

But we're not wearing the masks to protect ourselves primarily, right? We wear them to protect others. Masks with respirators do NOT protect others from the wearer's germs. At least that is my understanding. 

From CDC 

  • Masks with exhalation valves or vents should NOT be worn to help prevent the person wearing the mask from spreading COVID-19 to others (source control).

I am wearing my mask to protect myself and others. Obviously my odds of being protected go up if others are masked as well. I wear a surgical mask over the respirator to provide protection for others. 

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58 minutes ago, popmom said:

But we're not wearing the masks to protect ourselves primarily, right? We wear them to protect others. Masks with respirators do NOT protect others from the wearer's germs. At least that is my understanding. 

From CDC 

  • Masks with exhalation valves or vents should NOT be worn to help prevent the person wearing the mask from spreading COVID-19 to others (source control).

 

Masks with valves don’t protect others unless valves are closed off

 

respirators come with and without valves

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1 hour ago, Ausmumof3 said:

Interesting.  One thing I think this pandemic is telling me is we’re all healthier if we can spend more time outdoors!

 

And perhaps naked or nearly so for at least awhile near solar noon daily 😁

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24 minutes ago, Pen said:

 

Masks with valves don’t protect others unless valves are closed off

 

respirators come with and without valves

 

never mind. I found an example of what I was looking for.

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3 hours ago, square_25 said:

We can't close state borders. As long as the pandemic is raging somewhere in the country, none of us are all that safe, especially if like me you live in a city with lots of tourism. 

No, we can't, but clearly spikes and such are regional. The NE remained at very low positivity through the entire sunbelt peak and decline.

Also, apparently one county in TX added a ton of old positives over the last couple days if I'm reading this link right? If that contributes to an overall number of positive test in the US in the range of 5 figures, then it tells you close to nothing if you're looking at daily positive tests for the US as a whole.

https://twitter.com/JoeWo2020/status/1308218944692592641?s=19

I not trying to change your mind, just adding perspective to the thread. I get we disagree, probably even with the idea of what is "raging" or what it means to be "all that safe" or what we do until we are safe.

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3 hours ago, square_25 said:

Interesting. 

The thing I worry about with anecdotal data is confounders. Like, I got viruses for a while when my kids started preschool and then I stopped. My personal story about that is that I became immune to lots of the common colds floating around. Am I right about that? Who knows. That was my personal guess. 

 

It happens.  Animals (at least mammals and birds, and maybe @dmmetler or her daughter would know for reptiles etc, ) require many substances of which vitamin D is an important one among several that tend to be low in modern lifestyles (among people and domestic or captive animals who don’t get sun or sufficient amount from food) for immune systems to function so that “I became immune” is possible.    

The innate branch of immune system requires 

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Just now, Pen said:

 

It happens.  Animals (at least mammals and birds, and maybe @dmmetler or her daughter would know for reptiles etc, ) require many substances of which vitamin D is an important one among several that tend to be low in modern lifestyles (among people and domestic or captive animals who don’t get sun or sufficient amount from food) for immune systems to function so that “I became immune” is possible.    

The innate branch of immune system requires 

There absolutely are substances that reptiles need to thrive. UV light is required for pretty much any reptile who is awake during the day at all, and most need calcium and vitamin D as well. It’s one reason why reptile husbandry is fairly difficult.

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4 hours ago, square_25 said:

Interesting. 

The thing I worry about with anecdotal data is confounders. Like, I got viruses for a while when my kids started preschool and then I stopped. My personal story about that is that I became immune to lots of the common colds floating around. Am I right about that? Who knows. That was my personal guess. 

The rule of thumb for teachers is that if you make it to tenure, you’ll never get sick again, because you’ve caught everything that first few years. I suspect it is more that if you don’t have a really robust immune system, you will probably either quit or your attendance will be bad enough you won’t get tenure. I know for me, it also was that I learned what times of year I needed to be really on top of preventatives, because if I could keep my allergies under control, they didn’t turn into sinus infections, bronchitis, or pneumonia. Whether that was because my immune system could fight off normal stuff when it wasn’t already unhappy, or whether it was that I was a less fertile ground for viruses and bacteria to grow, I couldn’t say. But I do know that, despite having an immune system that tries to kill me if someone spices my food wrong, or just because it decides it is unhappy for some reason, I rarely get colds. 

 

 

 

 

 

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12 hours ago, ElizabethB said:

And, there was a reason the Canadian grandmas in Anne of Green Gables pushed Cod Liver Oil in the books.

Vitamin D gummies go over much better than Cod Liver Oil, my husband and kids take them happily.  I have to take special formulated pills weekly because of allergies, I alternate powder and olive oil based.

 

12 hours ago, Ausmumof3 said:

Interesting.  One thing I think this pandemic is telling me is we’re all healthier if we can spend more time outdoors!

 

 

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/B9780128099650000021

 

fish and vitamin D and sun 

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4 hours ago, square_25 said:

Interesting. 

The thing I worry about with anecdotal data is confounders. Like, I got viruses for a while when my kids started preschool and then I stopped. My personal story about that is that I became immune to lots of the common colds floating around. Am I right about that? Who knows. That was my personal guess. 

Oh, it's entirely possible it's just anecdotal.  But since both myself and both kids had levels that all the medical professionals deemed "deficient," and some of us had levels that put us in danger of both rickets and (I had not heard this one before) psychosis, supplementation seemed like a no brainer.  And since we apparently have to continuously supplement to stay out of that range, I figure we might as well shoot for good/ optimal rather than just "not in danger of rickets in the next year."

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1 minute ago, square_25 said:

Oh, I wouldn't even be surprised if you're right!! The reason one worries about anecdotal data isn't that it's always wrong or anything... it's that people naturally like stories, so we tell ourselves stories. And sometimes, those stories are justified and sometimes they aren't. And when an experiment isn't repeated, we can't test the story, either, so then it remains an anecdote. 

For robust statistics, you need a lot of data points. Mind you, those data points can all be from the same person... for instance, I get cold sores, and I can absolutely give convincing testimony just from my own data that cold sores disappear MUCH quicker when I take my antiviral medications. I've never bothered to measure, but I'm pretty sure if I measured, the effect would be something like "with medication, it takes 5 days, and without it takes 14." I'd really need only like 5 cold sores before that effect was strong enough to have probability less than 5% assuming a normal distribution (which is what people mean when they say "statistically significant due to p < 5%" or whatever.) 

On the other hand, I used to use over-the-counter cold sore creams, and I kinda, sorta thought they worked a little, but it wasn't a strong effect, and it could have also absolutely been the fact that I wanted them to work. And there, it's quite possible that if I took scrupulous data, I would have realized that the averages with and without the cream are practically identical and it was only my motivated reasoning that made me feel like they worked.

So when I say I distrust anecdotal evidence, I distrust my own as much as anyone's, lol. As I said, people like stories. 

I'd guess you're probably right that Vitamin D helped you guys out, since you were in the "obviously deficient" range!! I'd just be curious to see repeated experiments with a good number of data points. And again, those data points CAN be the same people over and over again 😉

 

Not all knowledge comes from statistics.

 

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20 minutes ago, square_25 said:

I agree that the spikes are regional 🙂 . I just like to keep track of how the country is doing as a whole. I think if NY could close borders, it'd be fine at this point, given the number of contact tracers and the amount of testing. However, since we can't, I like to know what's happening elsewhere. 

5 figures of tests doesn't do very much when you're running a million a day. I saw a very minor blip in the "7 day positivity average," but it's not like it drives it from 5% to 20%. Right now, positivity is low, which is good. 

 

All scientific knowledge comes from repeatable experiments. That's what science is. Statistics is just a specific way of examining the data. 

If you can't repeat your result, it's not science. Period. 

 

Sure. When teaching about “what is scientific method” I taught that sort of motto too.  Though science is possibly wider than “scientific method.”  And is absolutely wider than RCTs .  

 

 

We have lots of ways of gaining knowledge. 

 

Even within “science” there are multiple routes.

Electron microscopes for example can reveal things in different ways than an RCT.  

 

Most of what we know about the immune system and metabolic pathways was not learned via RCTs. 

 

 

I know, I know... for  a statistics person all the world is merely data points 🙃 like a  Workman with only a Hammer for whom all fasteners are nails - or vice versa  😁

 

Or how do the jokes go where 3 people go out to shoot at a target ... and the statistician who hits 10 feet to the right of the target on his first shot and 10 feet to the left on his second shot declares that on average he got two perfect bullseyes 🤣

 

 

 

 

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5 hours ago, Bambam said:

Interesting theory re masking and exposure to viral load

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2026913

Though I've seen this before it does make me wonder if it's more likely my kids will come home asympotomatic and shed all over my husband and me since we don't wear masks at home. 

 

A good reason to keep air filters going this winter and be thankful for a drafty house. 😂

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2 hours ago, square_25 said:

Oh, I wouldn't even be surprised if you're right!! The reason one worries about anecdotal data isn't that it's always wrong or anything... it's that people naturally like stories, so we tell ourselves stories. And sometimes, those stories are justified and sometimes they aren't. And when an experiment isn't repeated, we can't test the story, either, so then it remains an anecdote. 

For robust statistics, you need a lot of data points. Mind you, those data points can all be from the same person... for instance, I get cold sores, and I can absolutely give convincing testimony just from my own data that cold sores disappear MUCH quicker when I take my antiviral medications. I've never bothered to measure, but I'm pretty sure if I measured, the effect would be something like "with medication, it takes 5 days, and without it takes 14." I'd really need only like 5 cold sores before that effect was strong enough to have probability less than 5% assuming a normal distribution (which is what people mean when they say "statistically significant due to p < 5%" or whatever.) 

On the other hand, I used to use over-the-counter cold sore creams, and I kinda, sorta thought they worked a little, but it wasn't a strong effect, and it could have also absolutely been the fact that I wanted them to work. And there, it's quite possible that if I took scrupulous data, I would have realized that the averages with and without the cream are practically identical and it was only my motivated reasoning that made me feel like they worked.

So when I say I distrust anecdotal evidence, I distrust my own as much as anyone's, lol. As I said, people like stories. 

I'd guess you're probably right that Vitamin D helped you guys out, since you were in the "obviously deficient" range!! I'd just be curious to see repeated experiments with a good number of data points. And again, those data points CAN be the same people over and over again 😉

Vitamin D as a preventive for other respiratory diseases: 

25 eligible randomised controlled trials (total 11 321 participants, aged 0 to 95 years) were identified. IPD were obtained for 10 933 (96.6%) participants. Vitamin D supplementation reduced the risk of acute respiratory tract infection among all participants (adjusted odds ratio 0.88, 95% confidence interval 0.81 to 0.96; 

https://www.bmj.com/content/356/bmj.i6583

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19 hours ago, EmseB said:

Is positivity still going down in places that have opened for quite awhile? I thought at least one of the southern states (GA? AL?) has had schools open for quite awhile. It seems a lot of states have maintained declining positivity with indoor dining and such opened up?

We are at a plateua as far as I can tell, with our wonky data. 

19 hours ago, kdsuomi said:

According to Covid Act Now, which seems to be okish state positivity wise, TX, GA, and FL have all seen declines, but they're still not to the level that CA is. 

Our decline was really before schools opened up. We spiked when indoor dining an bars opened up, then after the bigger counties started mandating masks (there is still no statewide mandate) it gradually went down, lowest was around when school was starting. 

 

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30 minutes ago, Ktgrok said:

We are at a plateua as far as I can tell, with our wonky data. 

Our decline was really before schools opened up. We spiked when indoor dining an bars opened up, then after the bigger counties started mandating masks (there is still no statewide mandate) it gradually went down, lowest was around when school was starting. 

 

I was just looking at a general comparison of states that spiked because I think CA was the one out of those that went way state-wide locked down (for most things) again. Our positivity rate is now under 3%, and the others according to Covid ActNow were 7.7-11ish percent. They actually show the positivity rate for FL as the lowest now since the uptick.

ETA: CA never did reach the positivity rate the other states did, though. 

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28 minutes ago, square_25 said:

Quite a small effect, though. Going to 9/10ths of the original chance of getting an acute respiratory infection is nothing to write home about. 

I generally don't love meta-analyses, either... if I have the chance, I should look at the actual papers they are using. When I was trying to figure out effects of various pregnancy interventions, they'd lump together experiments made in Africa with experiments made in Canada, which really raised my eyebrows... those weren't comparable! 

 

How it is looked at may depend a lot on one’s life circumstances.

My son is in public school now.  Even though our state has pretty good metrics and most people are following masking pretty well (though one teacher had mask pulled down on chin when I was there last week), it certainly increases potential risks.  As well, some of the families have college / university students, so in a sense there is exposure indirectly to thousands of people some of whom are in party-hearty mode. 

I use masks in public. But I am not realistically able to have inside the home mask wearing and distancing 24/7 for the next 9 months.  And we have a very small home with a single bathroom.

 I don’t expect vitamin D optimization alone to be fully protective, but from what I know about Vitamin D, and my own past experiences with it, I do expect an optimized level and dosing method  to help. Along with other things.  Even if it does not “prevent” illness, I do expect it to help with less severity of illness. 

I would far rather be (and have my family be) observationally and empirically alive and ideally healthy, than to be perfectly RCT based dead or in ICU, or, and especially on top of other health issues I already have where I am probably basically already a long hauler from a prior illness, to be a CV19 “long hauler.”

Something easy, inexpensive, and low risk that might help, and might cumulatively along with other things help quite a bit,  is very worthwhile to me.   And for me, Vitamin D is even, yes,  “something to write home about” or at least email about to my own family in other places, many of whom cannot isolate for various reasons.   I think for @ElizabethB Vitamin D has also been “something to write home about”. 

 

I was an early adopter of both masks and higher D intake and also some other things (which I’ll avoid mentioning to not get into side trails) on the might help/low risks basis.  

 

Far different than u, I am sure, I even would rather be personally well due to a personal psychological positive “placebo effect” than to be sick based on averages affecting other people on an RCT. 

 

I realize that we have radically different experiences, different ways of looking at the world, and health, and like many others here on WTM have to “agree to disagree.” 

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I am pro vitamin D for general health reasons.  I was severely deficient in vitamin D in the past and supplementation helped me a lot with my chronic illness symptoms.  If it helps me be a little bit less likely to get severe COVID that's a win for me.  But I don't see it as a preventative as such.  Avoiding situations where I am more likely to be around the virus as well as doing things to lessen viral load if I do come in contact with it is more on my "preventative" list.  So for me, the big three are masking, social distancing and limiting group sizes especially indoors. 

Re. dengue fever.  Isn't the range for this mostly in tropical and subtropical areas?  Areas where I suspect a large number of people spend a large amount of time outside?  I wonder if that's more to do with why those areas haven't seen as  huge a problem with COVID19.  Just musing here. . .  

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The US surpassed 200,000 deaths today with 3 states showing an increase in cases (Labor Day festivities contributing, perhaps?). Apparently the death toll is just the tip of the iceberg according to NBC news.

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53 minutes ago, mathnerd said:

The US surpassed 200,000 deaths today with 3 states showing an increase in cases (Labor Day festivities contributing, perhaps?). Apparently the death toll is just the tip of the iceberg according to NBC news.

Yeah, everyone here is congratulating themselves that school opening is going well, but....cases are at the highest levels they've ever been; there have been a lot of cases in schools, but they aren't announcing anything other "case in school," not classroom, since the whole "within six feet for 15 consecutive minutes" is the thresh hold, and very few schools are actually open.  So to me, reopening is NOT going well at all.  

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1 hour ago, Jean in Newcastle said:

I am pro vitamin D for general health reasons.  I was severely deficient in vitamin D in the past and supplementation helped me a lot with my chronic illness symptoms.  If it helps me be a little bit less likely to get severe COVID that's a win for me.  But I don't see it as a preventative as such.  Avoiding situations where I am more likely to be around the virus as well as doing things to lessen viral load if I do come in contact with it is more on my "preventative" list.  So for me, the big three are masking, social distancing and limiting group sizes especially indoors. 

 

I Agree. 

 

1 hour ago, Jean in Newcastle said:

Re. dengue fever.  Isn't the range for this mostly in tropical and subtropical areas?  Areas where I suspect a large number of people spend a large amount of time outside?  I wonder if that's more to do with why those areas haven't seen as  huge a problem with COVID19.  Just musing here. . .  

 

I think it was more specific than that—like sub areas geographically with large DF outbreak had less CV19.  And apparently more immune reaction to CV19 possibly from prior DF exposure.

Even if in comparison to another part of Brazil with out of doors time, (though I expect that modern life may have changed that even in tropics of South America just as it turns out that people in Florida may actually be indoors a lot, not out) people from recent DF outbreak seem to be less susceptible. ( But there are a number of factors that may also be relevant, including not HCQ for DF itself, but treatments in those areas for malaria (not necessarily HCQ nowadays), Ivermectin for parasites, more susceptible population already killed off by the DF, Natural soil zinc levels...  etc etc) 

 

Apparently significantly Outdoors life has not prevented some deaths in Amazonian indigenous people however, even in young people. 

 

 

A bit similar to the DF cross immunity issue, There are also some speculations that exposure to animals who have had other coronaviruses may give some people a little bit of immunity benefit.

 

It is more of a surprise for a possible cross immunity to be related to a different category of virus however. 

 

Anyway, unlike vitamin D which is in my control to take or not take, DF possible cross immunity is very interesting, but not at all within my sphere of influence. 

I try to spend more time and energy on what is within my own sphere of influence. 

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